Oxford University Professor Jonathan Zittrain in his new book, The Future of the Internet–And How to Stop It, according to NetworkWorld, states that:

…today’s Internet appliances such as the iPhone and Xbox hamper innovation. That’s because these locked-down devices prohibit the kind of tinkering by end users that made PCs and the Internet such a force of economic, political and artistic change.

Zittrain argues that if the cybersecurity situation doesn’t improve, we will migrate to a different kind of Internet. The new Internet will have as its endpoints tethered appliances such as iPhones, which are controlled by their manufacturers, instead of open, changeable PCs attached to an open network that can foster the next round of disruptive innovation.

A bold statement. And he’s got a point.

Now these devices are innovations unto themselves, and some even are positioned as development platforms. Take the iPhone, for example. Apple just released the latest version of their Software Development Kit (SDK) and developers everywhere are coding away, looking to build the next great iPhone application.

But in classic Apple style (i.e. heavy DRM within iTunes), Apple remains the gatekeeper. Applications can only be distributed via their App Store, and will only be distributed if approved by Apple. Apple will explain that this is for security and quality-assurance reasons, but it still puts them in control of what’s available, with the ability to shut an app off if they so desire. So yes, you can be as creative as you want on their platform, but it’s up to Apple if anyone is going to see it at all, or in perpetuity.

There’s a similar situation going on with Google’s new App Engine (the preview version was launched on 4/8, then taken down on 4/9). Google’s vision is that instead of freely building apps with their API, you can develop applications using their APIs and host them on their servers, free of charge. Amazon’s Elastic Compute Cloud and Salesforce’s Appexchange are also providing similar opportunities for developers. Sounds great, right? But there’s a catch, as ArsTechnica reports.

Perhaps the most blatant downside is being locked into Google’s platform. Existing projects will have to be ported or written from scratch, and those that rely on traditional relational databases will probably have difficulty making the transition. Even more difficult would be transitioning your application to your own servers if you choose to leave Google’s tender embrace. Once you’ve created an established application on top of Google’s authentication service and stored all your data within the company’s datastore, removing all this code and data and moving it to another location would appear to a be fairly onerous task.

Once again, applications — and even more importantly, data — are locked into someone else’s platform. And this is precisely what Jonathan Zittrain is talking about.

This is a disturbing trend and runs afoul of what led to the creativity that yielded many of the most popular websites of the last few years. Imagine if Warhol was free to create any art he wanted, but someone else owned the canvases and could destroy or bury them at any point if his art offended someone? That’s what’s going on here.

It doesn’t seem that this is a trend that will let up anytime soon as companies like Apple, Google, and Amazon have way too much to gain by housing and hosting application engines. Doesn’t feel like ‘do no evil’ anymore does it? And a little more ‘PC’ than ‘Mac’, if you ask me.

Food for thought…

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MIT’s Technology Review just published it’s list of 10 Emerging Technologies for 2008. The one piece that resonated with me is Sandy Pentland’s exploration into Reality Mining especially in relation to social networking, new media and interactive.

Reality mining “is all about paying attention to patterns in life and using that information to help [with] things like setting privacy patterns, sharing things with people, notifying people–basically, to help you live your life.”

This becomes a hot topic for a few reasons. First and foremost is, once again, privacy issues. Data capture is part of our daily lives – credit card usage, cookies on sites, social network profiles, company swipe cards – and as technology continues to slowly infiltrate more of our lives, we become more tolerant and accepting of what information is divulged and distributed. Everyone has see the movies with the FBI trying to trace the criminals phone call with the criminal hanging up just before being caught. However, most people don’t think about that even with mobile phones being on all the time A simple Google search on his/her name would surprise a lot of people.

Reality Mining has been a reality for years. And as mobile phones become more prevalent with WI-FI, Bluetooth and GPS-type systems (ala iPhone,) in addition to the laptops we carry around and use, the continual social network is our daily life. And as mobile technology advances, our blip on the grid becomes more prominent. The Human Cyborg ideal continues to press forward. Professor Kevin Warwick first started research into this in 1998 by planting microchips in his arm for recognition of systems in his lab.

The major benefit of Reality Mining is from an anthropological standpoint. How people interact, where they are and when they are. Tying this information into disease outbreaks, advertising models (when a person sees an ad, what do they do right afterwards?) and general healthcare and “human maintenance.” Smartex in Italy is working on clothing that does just that.

It’s a bit of the God factor (being omnipotent and omniscient) that is also fascinating. Knowing where your friends are at any time, knowing what they’re doing, where to get the food your phone knows your craving. It’s bringing the idea of Facebook, Google Maps, Dodgeball and other sites into the physical space. The ultimate social network. Maybe even a step closer to SkyNet.

Real-time in real-time. Very meta.

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Google’s announcement last Thursday about their venture into online personal health records is a mixed blessing, but one that has been much needed for the healthcare industry. It’s been a hot topic since the original announcement by Google in October. The biggest concern is that of privacy issues and, more so, data security. Microsoft and Google make assurances that data will be secure and privately controlled by individuals.

On the pro front, this announcement will open up the healthcare industry similar to how the iPhone has made carriers rethink their strategy of having strict control of what devices user get. Now patients should control where they take their ailments, rather than big healthcare saying what referrals you need and how to get care. Granted, this will take a while to see the full wave of this effect, but it’s finally happened where there is the challenge to bringing control to the masses. A big idea of web 3.0.

The cons? Well, for one, people will have to be the keepers of their medical history. A lot of people will, a lot of people won’t. Judging the way people can be cyberchondriacs with the likes of WebMD around, a social network space to post every symptom they may think they have would definitely need filtering and a professional opinion. But we’ve all been curious about what the doctor scribbles (yeah, they scribble) on that file. Just ask Elaine on a classic Seinfeld episode trying to see what’s in that file.

But imagine if that information does become publicly searchable (”OMG! She had WHAT when we were dating?”) or the movement into a medical social network (GooTube? Yuck.) It might lead to a new perspective on selective reproduction and a change in human evolution. Scientists are already theorizing on it. 

If the trial with the Cleveland Clinic is a success, we can see a big change in the way medicine and society interacts on that online space. I see it as a portal of innovation and communication – cancer survivors speaking about their therapies, treatments analyzed and discussed, ease of research and innovation – beyond their niche spaces on the web. The power of technology, the power of social media and the human element are enticing for this to work.

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As seen in Florence, Italy:

Yes. Those are iPhone headphones.

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Here’s the information, courtesy of Engadget, on the new iPod Nano, iPod Classic (this is the one for you audiophiles, with 80 and 160GB models available), and the iPod Touch (the iPhone without the phone, but only with a paltry 16GB of storage).

Oh and the iPhone price just dropped 200 smackers. Big ouches for those who sprung for one early.

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From Engadget (click to read the rest of the post…it’s good.):

* The mobile version of OS X or whatever it is the iPhone runs takes up 700MB of the device’s capacity. Damn son!
* There’s no way to cut, copy, or paste text! WHOA! Big, big mistake.
* No A2DP support. That, friends, is such a huge bummer right there.
* Sorry, music can’t be used as a ringtone — even if it’s just a raw MP3. No additional ringtones will be sold at launch.
* On a PC the iPhone syncs with Outlook for calendars AND addresses! Noice.
* It supports Exchange in some capacity, according to Walt, but he doesn’t exactly say how.
* Pogue again confirms document file reading — but not editing — for PDF, Word, and Excel (only).
* Adobe Flash support is officially out. It’s just not in the browser. Neither is there any other kind of embedded video support. Sorry everybody, that’s that.
* It will take snaps, but won’t record video. How can Apple love YouTube as much as it does and not realize cellphone-shot movies make up a sizeable chunk of the crazy crap you find on there?

More insight at Engadget.

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A (to be expected) positive review of Apple’s iPhone from Walt Mossberg @ the Wall Street Journal.

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Nothing is ever really culturally important until it has a betting line.

Well, you can now consider the iPhone officially culturally important.

As reported by LiveScience, BetUS.com has given the odds on the iPhone’s failure:


* Consumers are reported camping out waiting for an iPhone—3/1 (IS: it’s already happened)
* Initial iPhones get recalled—30/1 (IS: I wouldn’t really be surprised if there was a partial recall. I was a victim of a faulty early Xbox 360)
* iPhone sells at least 12 Million units in 2008—5/6 (IS: 10 million is apple’s goal.)
* Apple’s stock jumps at least 10% in value in regards to the price on 6/30/07—1/2 (IS: Bet it will, just because.)
* Consumers pay at least three times the original price ($1,500) on ebay—2/1 (IS: Oh yes, it will happen.)
* The screen breaks/cracks like Apple’s first-generation nano (iPod)—150/1 (IS: Apple’s always had display issues. Odds are, it will continue here.)
* There are mass reports of the battery life being less than the promised 8 hours—10/1 (IS: Of course this will happen.)
* Someone is trampled while trying to get an iPhone—20/1 (IS: Maybe not a trampling, but someone will hurt someone else.)
* iPhone spontaneously combusts—150/1 (IS: It would be cooler if the “Mac guy” combusted, but hey, the odds are probably the same of that happening.)

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